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Gallup

Iranian Nuclear Weapons as a Threat to U.S. Vital Interests

Next, I am going to read you a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please tell me if you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. Development of nuclear weapons by Iran

Latest wave fielded February 1 to 20, 2024. Primary source: Gallup trend table: Iranian Nuclear Weapons as a Threat to U.S. Vital Interests.

Trend

Iranian Nuclear Weapons as a Threat to U.S. Vital Interests: trendLine chart of 9 survey waves from 2013 Feb 7-10 to 2024 Feb 1-20. Exact values are in the table below.0%20%40%60%80%100%201420162018202020222024Year of fieldworkPercentCritical, February 7 to 10, 2013: 83%Critical, February 6 to 9, 2014: 76%Critical, February 8 to 11, 2015: 77%Critical, February 3 to 7, 2016: 75%Critical, February 1 to 10, 2019: 72%Critical, February 3 to 18, 2021: 75%Critical, February 1 to 17, 2022: 76%Critical, February 1 to 23, 2023: 74%Critical, February 1 to 20, 2024: 77%Important, February 7 to 10, 2013: 16%Important, February 6 to 9, 2014: 18%Important, February 8 to 11, 2015: 16%Important, February 3 to 7, 2016: 18%Important, February 1 to 10, 2019: 21%Important, February 3 to 18, 2021: 21%Important, February 1 to 17, 2022: 19%Important, February 1 to 23, 2023: 22%Important, February 1 to 20, 2024: 19%Not important, February 7 to 10, 2013: 1%Not important, February 6 to 9, 2014: 4%Not important, February 8 to 11, 2015: 5%Not important, February 3 to 7, 2016: 5%Not important, February 1 to 10, 2019: 6%Not important, February 3 to 18, 2021: 3%Not important, February 1 to 17, 2022: 4%Not important, February 1 to 23, 2023: 4%Not important, February 1 to 20, 2024: 4%No opinion, February 7 to 10, 2013: *%No opinion, February 6 to 9, 2014: 2%No opinion, February 8 to 11, 2015: 2%No opinion, February 3 to 7, 2016: 1%No opinion, February 1 to 10, 2019: 1%No opinion, February 3 to 18, 2021: *%No opinion, February 1 to 17, 2022: 1%No opinion, February 1 to 23, 2023: *%No opinion, February 1 to 20, 2024: 1%
  • Critical
  • Important
  • Not important
  • No opinion
Source: Gallup; see Sources below. Percentages of respondents.

Toplines

Iranian Nuclear Weapons as a Threat to U.S. Vital Interests: toplines by survey wave, percent (newest first)
Field datesCriticalImportantNot importantNo opinionSample (n)Margin of error
February 1 to 20, 2024771941----
February 1 to 23, 202374224*----
February 1 to 17, 2022761941----
February 3 to 18, 202175213*----
February 1 to 10, 2019722161----
February 3 to 7, 2016751851----
February 8 to 11, 2015771652----
February 6 to 9, 2014761842----
February 7 to 10, 201383161*----

Pollster footnotes: * Less than 0.5%

Sources

  1. Gallup trend table: Iranian Nuclear Weapons as a Threat to U.S. Vital Interests, accessed October 13, 2026.

Cite

Gallup, "Iranian Nuclear Weapons as a Threat to U.S. Vital Interests," in Middle East Forum, U.S. Opinion on the Middle East, https://polls.meforum.org/q/gallup-threat-iran-nuclear/.